《黑色星期》PPT课件.ppt
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1、The Big Depression1929-1933,目录,一黑色星期四二、罗斯福新政三、国家工业复兴法作用四、罗斯福新政的作用五、1929-1933年经济危机的特点六影响:对美国的影响 对世界的影响,Introduction,The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression in the decade preceding World War II.The timing of the Great Depression varied across nations,but in most countries it st
2、arted in about 1929 and lasted until the late 1930s or early 1940s.1 It was the longest,most widespread,and deepest depression of the 20th century.In the 21st century,the Great Depression is commonly used as an example of how far the worlds economy can decline.2 The depression originated in the U.S.
3、,starting with the fall in stock prices that began around September 4,1929 and became worldwide news with the stock market crash of October 29,1929(known as Black Tuesday).From there,it quickly spread to almost every country in the world.,1924-1929年,资本主义世界经历了短暂的经济繁荣(被称为柯立芝繁荣,是一种虚假繁荣)。1929年,经济危机首先在美国
4、爆发,随即席卷整个资本主义世界,形成了前所未有的、持续最久的世界经济大危机.20世纪20年代,美国证券市场兴起投机狂潮,“谁想发财,就买股票”成为一句口头禅,人们像着了魔似地买股票,梦想着一夜之间成为百万富翁。疯狂的股票投机终于引发一场经济大灾难。1929年10月24日,纽约证券交易所股票价格雪崩似地跌落,人们歇斯底里地甩卖股票,整个交易所大厅里回荡着绝望的叫喊声。这一天成为可怕的“黑色星期四”(Black Thursday),并触发了美国经济危机。然而,这仅仅是灾难的开始。29日,交易所股价再度狂跌。一天之内1600多万股票被抛售,50种主要股票的平均价格下跌了近40%。一夜之间,“繁荣”景
5、象化为乌有,全面的金融危机接踵而至:大批银行倒闭,企业破产,市场萧条,生产锐减;失业人数激增,人民生活水平骤降;农产品价格下跌,很多人濒临破产。一场空前规模的经济危机终于爆发,美国历史上的“大萧条”时期到来。,The Great Depression had devastating effects in virtually every country,rich and poor.Personal income,tax revenue,profits and prices dropped while international trade plunged by to.Unemployment i
6、n the U.S.rose to 25%,and in some countries rose as high as 33%.Cities all around the world were hit hard,especially those dependent on heavy industry.Construction was virtually halted in many countries.Farming and rural areas suffered as crop prices fell by approximately 60%.Facing plummeting deman
7、d with few alternate sources of jobs,areas dependent on primary sector industries such as cash cropping,mining and logging suffered the most.,1933年,整个资本主义世界工业生产下降40%,各国工业产量倒退到19世纪末的水平,资本主义世界贸易总额减少2/3,美、德、法、英共有29万家企业破产。资本主义世界失业工人达到3000多万,美国失业人口1700多万,几百万小农破产,无业人口颠沛流离。经济危机给资本主义制度固有的矛盾引起了资本主义各国的政局动荡,示威
8、游行、罢工等抗议活动接连不断。美国还发生失业工人罢工游行、退伍军人的示威游行;法国工人罢工频繁,社会动荡;德国接连发生大规模工人罢工。德国法西斯分子利用人民对现状的不满,趁机造势,政治影响猛增;日本军国主义势力也趁机抬头。各主要资本主义国家为摆脱危机,加强对经济的干预,加紧在国际市场上的争夺,彼此之间的矛盾和摩擦日趋尖锐。为尽快走出经济困境,它们进一步加紧对殖民地和半殖民地的掠夺,激起当地人民更为强烈的反抗,加剧了世界紧张局势。,Causes of the Great Depression,First,there is orthodox classical economics:monetari
9、st,Austrian Economics and neoclassical economic theory,which focus on the macroeconomic effects of money supply,how central banking decisions lead to overinvestment and an economic bubble,or the supply of gold,which backed many currencies before the Great Depression,including production and consumpt
10、ion.A fourth point of view,not widely held,is the effect of population dynamics upon demand,Second,there are structural theories,most importantly Keynesian,but also including those of institutional economics,that point to underconsumption and overinvestment,malfeasance by bankers and industrialists,
11、or incompetence by government officials.The only consensus viewpoint is that there was a large-scale lack of confidence.Unfortunately,once panic and deflation set in,many people believed they could make more money by keeping clear of the markets as prices got lower and lower and a given amount of mo
12、ney bought ever more goods.,Timeline of the Great Depression,Economic historians usually attribute the start of the Great Depression to the sudden devastating collapse of US stock market prices on October 29,1929,known as Black Tuesday.However,some dispute this conclusion,and see the stock crash as
13、a symptom,rather than a cause,of the Great Depression.Even after the Wall Street Crash of 1929,optimism persisted for some time.,The stocks of America,经济危机的根源,Change in economic indicators 1929-1932,美国总体的经济大萧条图,Franklin Roosevelt,Roosevelts critics,The crisis had many political consequences,among wh
14、ich was the abandonment of classic economic liberal approaches,which Roosevelt replaced in the U.S.with Keynesian policies.These policies magnified the role of the federal government in the national economy.Between 1933 and 1939,federal expenditure tripled,and Roosevelts critics charged that he was
15、turning America into a socialist state.84 The Great Depression was a main factor in the implementation of social democracy and planned economies in European countries after World War II(see Marshall Plan).Although Austrian economists had challenged Keynesianism since the 1920s,it was not until the 1
16、970s,with the influence of Milton Friedman that the Keynesian approach was politically questioned.85,罗斯福新政,经济危机冲击了美国的资本主义制度。1933年,富兰克林罗斯福(Franklin D。Roosevelt,1882-1945)就任美国总统后,立即以“新政”(New Deal)救治经济危机,并呼吁美国人民支持他的“大胆实验”。“新政”的主要内容有:整顿金融业,恢复银行信用,贬值美元,刺激出口;恢复工业,强化国家对工业生产的调节和控制,防止盲目竞争引起生产过剩;调整农业,压缩农业产量,稳
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