代理控制交通灯毕业论文外文翻译.doc

《代理控制交通灯毕业论文外文翻译.doc》由会员分享，可在线阅读，更多相关《代理控制交通灯毕业论文外文翻译.doc（10页珍藏版）》请在三一办公上搜索。

1、Agent controlled traffic lightsIntroductionThe quality of (urban) traffic control systems is determined by the match between the control schema and the actual traffic patterns. If traffic patterns change, what they usually do, the effectiveness is determined by the way in which the system adapts to

2、these changes. When this ability to adapt becomes an integral part of the traffic control unit it can react better to changes in traffic conditions. Adjusting a traffic control unit is a costly and timely affair if it involves human attention. The hypothesis is that it might offer additional benefit

3、 using self-evaluating and self-adjusting traffic control systems. There is already a market for an urban traffic control system that is able to react if the environment changes;the so called adaptive systems. Real adaptive systems will need pro-active calculated traffic information and cycle plans-

4、 based on these calculated traffic conditions- to be updated frequently.Adaptive urban traffic control Adaptive signal control systems must have a capability to optimise the traffic flow by adjusting the traffic signals based on current traffic. All used traffic signal control methods are based on f

5、eed-back algorithms using traffic demand data -varying from years to a couple of minutes - in the past. Current adaptive systems often operate on the basis of adaptive green phases and flexible co-ordination in (sub)networks based on measured traffic conditions (e.g., UTOPIA-spot,SCOOT). These metho

6、ds are still not optimal where traffic demand changes rapidly within a short time interval. The basic premise is that existing signal plan generation tools make rational decisions about signal plans under varying conditions; but almost none of the current available tools behave pro-actively or have

7、meta-rules that may change behaviour of the controller incorporated into the system. The next logical step for traffic control is the inclusion of these meta-rules and pro active and goal-oriented behaviour. The key aspects of improved control, for which contributions from artificial intelligence an

8、d artificial intelligent agents can be expected, include the capability of dealing with conflicting objectives; the capability of making pro-active decisions on the basis of temporal analysis; the ability of managing, learning, self adjusting and responding to non-recurrent and unexpected events (Am

9、brosino et al., 1994).What are intelligent agents Agent technology is a new concept within the artificial intelligence (AI). The agent paradigm in AI is based upon the notion of reactive, autonomous, internally-motivated entities that inhabit dynamic, not necessarily fully predictable environments (

10、Weiss, 1999). Autonomy is the ability to function as an independent unit over an extended period of time, performing a variety of actions necessary to achieve pre-designated objectives while responding to stimuli produced by integrally contained sensors (Ziegler, 1990). Multi-Agent Systems can be ch

11、aracterised by the interaction of many agents trying to solve a variety of problems in a co-operative fashion. Besides AI, intelligent agents should have some additional attributes to solve problems by itself in real-time; understand information; have goals and intentions; draw distinctions between

12、situations; generalise; synthesise new concepts and / or ideas; model the world they operate in and plan and predict consequences of actions and evaluate alternatives. The problem solving component of an intelligent agent can be a rule-based system but can also be a neural network or a fuzzy expert

13、system. It may be obvious that finding a feasible solution is a necessity for an agent. Often local optima in decentralised systems, are not the global optimum. This problem is not easily solved. The solution has to be found by tailoring the interaction mechanism or to have a supervising agent co-or

14、dinating the optimisation process of the other agents.Intelligent agents in UTC,a helpful paradigmAgent technology is applicable in different fields within UTC. The ones most important mentioning are: information agents, agents for traffic simulation and traffic control. Currently, most applications

15、 of intelligent agents are information agents. They collect information via a network. With special designed agents user specific information can be provided. In urban traffic these intelligent agents are useable in delivering information about weather, traffic jams, public transport, route closures

16、, best routes, etc. to the user via a Personal Travel Assistant. Agent technology can also be used for aggregating data for further distribution. Agents and multi agent systems are capable of simulating complex systems for traffic simulation. These systems often use one agent for every traffic parti

17、cipant (in a similar way as object oriented programs often use objects). The application of agents in (Urban) Traffic Control is the one that has our prime interest. Here we ultimately want to use agents for pro-active traffic light control with on-line optimisation. Signal plans then will be determ

18、ined based on predicted and measured detector data and will be tuned with adjoining agents. The most promising aspects of agent technology, the flexibility and pro-active behaviour, give UTC the possibility of better anticipation of traffic. Current UTC is not that flexible, it is unable to adjust i

19、tself if situations change and cant handle un-programmed situations. Agent technology can also be implemented on several different control layers. This gives the advantage of being close to current UTC while leaving considerable freedom at the lower (intersection) level.Assumptions and consideration

20、s on agent based urban traffic controlThere are three aspects where agent based traffic control and -management can improve current state of the art UTC systems:- Adaptability. Intelligent agents are able to adapt its behaviour and can learn from earlier situations.- Communication. Communication mak

21、es it possible for agents to co-operate and tune signal plans.- Pro-active behaviour. Due to the pro active behaviour traffic control systems are able to plan ahead.To be acceptable as replacement unit for current traffic control units, the system should perform the same or better than current syste

22、ms. The agent based UTC will require on-line and pro-active reaction on changing traffic patterns. An agent based UTC should be demand responsive as well as adaptive during all stages and times. New methods for traffic control and traffic prediction should be developed as current ones do not suffice

23、 and cannot be used in agent technology. The adaptability can also be divided in several different time scales where the system may need to handle in a different way (Rogier, 1999):- gradual changes due to changing traffic volumes over a longer period of time,- abrupt changes due to changing traffic

24、 volumes over a longer period of time,- abrupt, temporal, changes due to changing traffic volumes over a short period of time,- abrupt, temporal, changes due to prioritised traffic over a short period of timeOne way of handling the balance between performance and complexity is the use of a hierarchi

25、cal system layout. We propose a hierarchy of agents where every agent is responsible for its own optimal solution, but may not only be influenced by adjoining agents but also via higher level agents. These agents have the task of solving conflicts between lower level agents that they cant solve. Thi

26、s represents current traffic control implementations and ideas. One final aspect to be mentioned is the robustness of agent based systems (if all communication fails the agent runs on, if the agent fails a fixed program can be executed.To be able to keep our first urban traffic control model as simp

27、le as possible we have made the following assumptions: we limit ourselves to inner city traffic control (road segments, intersections, corridors), we handle only controlled intersections with detectors (intensity and speed) at all road segments, we only handle cars and we use simple rule bases for k

28、nowledge representation.Types of agents in urban intersection control As we divide the system in several, recognisable, parts we define the following 4 types of agents:- Roads are represented by special road segment agents (RSA),- Controlled intersections are represented by intersection agents (ITSA

29、),- For specific, defined, areas there is an area agent (higher level),- For specific routes there can be route agents, that spans several adjoining road segments (higher level).We have not chosen for one agent per signal. This may result in a more simple solution but available traffic control progr

30、ams do not fit in that kind of agent. We deliberately choose a more complex agent to be able to use standard traffic control design algorithms and programs. The idea still is the optimisation on a local level (intersection), but with local and global control. Therefor we use area agents and route ag

31、ents. All communication takes place between neighbouring agents and upper and lower level ones.Design of our agent based systemThe essence of a, demand responsive and pro-active agent based UTC consists of several ITSAs (InTerSection Agent).,some authority agents (area and route agents) and optional

32、 Road Segment Agents (RSA). The ITSA makes decisions on how to control its intersection based on its goals, capability, knowledge, perception and data. When necessary an agent can request for additional information or receive other goals or orders from its authority agent(s).For a specific ITSA, imp

33、lemented to serve as an urban traffic control agent, the following actions are incorporated (Roozemond, 1998):- data collection / distribution (via RSA - information on the current state of traffic; from / to other ITSAs - on other adjoining signalised intersections);- analysis (with an accurate mod

34、el of the surrounds and knowing the traffic and traffic control rules define current trend; detect current traffic problems);- calculation (calculate the next, optimal, cycle mathematically correct);- decision making (with other agent deciding what to use for next cycle; handle current traffic probl

35、ems);- control (operate the signals according to cycle plan).The internals of the ITSA modelTraffic dependent intersection control normally works in a fast loop. The detector data is fed into the control algorithm. Based upon predetermined rules a control strategy is chosen and the signals are opera

36、ted accordingly. In this research we suggest the introduction of an extra, slow, loop where rules and parameters of a prediction- model can be changed by a higher order meta-model.ITSA modelThe internals of an ITSA consists of several agents. For a better overview of the internal ITSA model-agents a

37、nd agent based functions see figure 2. Data collection is partly placed at the RSAs and partly placed in the ITSAs. The needed data is collected from different sources, but mainly via detectors. The data is stored locally and may be transmitted to other agents. The actual operation of the traffic si

38、gnals is left to an ITSA-controller agent. The central part of the ITSA, acts as a control strategy agent. That agent can operate several control strategies, such as anti-blocking and public transport priority strategies. The control strategy agent uses the estimates of the prediction model agent wh

39、ich estimates the states in the near future. The ITSA-prediction model agent estimates the states in the near future. The prediction model agent gets its data related to intersection and road segments - as an agent that knows the forecasting equations, actual traffic conditions and constraints - and

40、 future traffic situations can be calculated by way of an inference engine and its knowledge and data base. On-line optimisation only works if there is sufficient quality in traffic predictions, a good choice is made regarding the performance indicators and an effective way is found to handle one-ti

41、me occurrences (Rogier, 1999).Prediction modelWe hope to include pro-activeness via specific prediction model agents with a task of predicting future traffic conditions. The prediction models are extremely important for the development of pro active traffic control. The proposed ITSA-prediction mode

42、l agent estimates the states of the traffic in the near future via its own prediction model. The prediction meta-model compares the accuracy of the predictions with current traffic and will adjust the prediction parameters if the predictions were insufficient or not accurate. The prediction model ag

43、ent is fed by several inputs: vehicle detection system, relevant road conditions, control strategies, important data on this intersection and its traffic condition, communication with ITSAs of nearby intersections and higher level agents. The agent itself has a rule-base, forecasting equations, know

44、s constraints regarding specific intersections and gets insight into current (traffic) conditions. With these data future traffic situations should be calculated by its internal traffic forecasting model. The predicted forecast is valid for a limited time. Research has shown that models using histor

45、ic, up-stream and current link traffic give the best results (Hobeika & Kim, 1994).Conclusions and future workAdaptive signal control systems that are able to optimise and adjust the signal settings are able to improve the vehicular throughput and minimise delay through appropriate response to chang

46、es in the measured demand patterns. With the introduction of two un-coupled feed back loops, whether agent technology is used or not, a pro-active theory of traffic control can be met. There are several aspects still unresearched. The first thing we are going to do is to build a prototype system of

47、a single intersection to see if the given claims of adaptability and pro activeness can be realised. A working prototype of such system should give appropriate evidence on the usability of agent based control systems. There are three other major subjects to be researched in depth; namely self adjust

48、able control schemas, on-line optimisation of complex systems and getting good prediction models. For urban traffic control we need to develop self adjustable control schemes that can deal with dynamic and actuated data. For the optimisation we need mathematical programming methodologies capable of

49、real-time on-line operation. In arterial and agent based systems this subject becomes complex due to several different, continuously changing, weights and different goals of the different ITSAs and due to the need for co-ordination and synchronisation. The research towards realising real-time on-line prediction models needs to be developed in compliance with agent based technology. The pro-active and re-active nature of agents and the double loop control schema seems to be a helpful paradigm