中国北方第三季度房地产市场概述 Property Market Overview Q3North China.doc

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1、Property Market Overview Q3 2011 North ChinaPrepared for: Mitsui17 October 20111China Economic Update31.1City Macroeconomic Indicators32Major Policy Change52.1State Level Policies52.2Local Policies73Market Transaction Update93.1En Bloc Property Transactions93.2Land Transactions114Beijing Property Ma

2、rket Overview144.1Grade A Office Market144.2Prime Retail Market274.3Secondary Retail Market374.4Serviced Apartments Market415Dalian Property Market Overview535.1Grade A Office Market535.2Prime Retail Market615.3Serviced Apartments Market696Qingdao Property Market Overview766.1Grade A Office Market76

3、6.2Prime Retail Market826.3Serviced Apartments Market917Tianjin Property Market Overview977.1Grade A Office Market977.2Prime Retail Market1047.3Serviced Apartments Market1138Shenyang Property Market Overview1208.1Grade A Office Market1208.2Prime Retail Market1278.3Serviced Apartments Market1371 Chin

4、a Economic Update1.1 City Macroeconomic IndicatorsTable 1GDP(RMB billion)Growth Rate of Total Fixed Asset Investment(Y-o-Y, %)Growth Rate of Real Estate Development Investment(Y-o-Y, %)CPI (Y-o-Y, %)Actual Foreign Direct Investment (USD billion)Total Retail Sales(RMB billion)Beijing2004606.017.222.5

5、101.03.08262.72005688.611.83.5101.53.53290.32006768.119.312.8100.94.55327.52007935.317.716.0102.45.07380.020081048.8-3.0-4.4105.16.08458.920091186.626.222.598.56.12531.020101377.810.224.1102.46.36622.92011Q1350.920.114.0105.2n.a160.72011Q2741.815.63.7105.52.14323.12011Q3-Dalian2004196.241.338.198.02

6、.2064.52005215.055.023.3100.63.0073.22006257.032.327.1102.62.2583.92007313.131.420.9101.43.1698.32008385.830.221.6101.45.01118.32009441.830.216.8100.26.02139.72010515.815.290.7102.710.03164.02011Q1129.030.334.1104.82.3345.42011Q2304.630.744.4105.64.6790.82011Q3-Qingdao2004227.038.727.3102.13.8274.72

7、005269.645.037.6102.33.6686.62006320.719.819.9100.93.66100.72007378.723.320.1104.53.81119.92008443.623.516.0104.72.64146.52009489.025.323.1100.51.86174.42010566.622.931.1102.22.84190.32011Q1132.224.253.0103.80.9652.92011Q2301.723.639.1104.72.20104.92011Q3-Tianjin2004311.120.324.8102.32.47104.5200536

8、9.720.524.1101.53.33119.02006434.422.022.8101.54.13135.72007505.029.125.6104.25.28160.42008635.442.529.4105.47.42200.02009750.147.112.599.09.02243.12010910.930.117.9103.510.85290.32011Q1225.730.125.4103.63.5580.72011Q2509.933.330.5104.37.23163.22011Q3-Shenyang2004190.166.793.2102.22.4280.92005208.44

9、0.320.7100.72.1291.52006248.331.330.2101.83.03104.92007307.431.935.7104.55.04123.22008386.127.438.4104.46.00150.62009435.922.217.699.95.41177.92010501.736.231.9102.95.05206.62011Q1126.329.119.5105.01.5258.12011Q2286.330.623.2105.53.15115.52011Q3-2 Major Policy Change2.1 State Level Policies2.1.1 The

10、 PBC raised the RMB reserve requirement ratio for depository financial institutions for the third times-PBOCKey point: The PBC decided to raise the RMB reserve requirement ratio for depository financial institutions by 0.5 percentage points, effective from July 7, 2011.%Before AdjustmentAfter Adjust

11、ment1. Household and corporate deposits1.1 Demand deposits0.50 0.50 1.2 Time deposits of lump-sum deposit and withdrawal3-month2.85 3.10 6-month3.05 3.30 1-year3.25 3.50 2- year4.15 4.40 3-year4.75 5.00 5- year5.25 5.50 2. Loans6-month5.85 6.10 1-year6.31 6.56 1 to 3-year6.40 6.65 3 to 5-year6.65 6.

12、90 Over 5-year6.80 7.05 3. Personal housing provident fund loansBelow 5-year (inclusive)4.20 4.45 Above 5-year4.70 4.90 Implications: Further tightened monetary policy to against inflation.2.2 Local Policies2.2.1 Beijing Local PoliciesJun 8, Beijing released Sample Text of Housing Construction Instr

13、uction Manual- National Development and Reform CommissionKey point: On 8 June, the National Development and Reform Commission released the full text of the National Main Functional Area Planning”, which is the first national land development planning. The main functional area development strategy is

14、 divided into three categories including urbanised areas, agricultural areas and ecological areas, as well as four patterns including optimised development, key development, restricted development and prohibited development areas. The National Development and Reform Commission also revealed that pro

15、vincial main functional area planning are in draft stage and will be linked up to the National Main Functional Area Planning.2.2.2 Qingdao Local PoliciesAugust 26, The property tax for Non-residential- Qingdao Territories Resources and House Administration BureauKey point: Owner of non-residential m

16、ust provide the certificate of land tax, property tax and other tax when transferring properties. If not, the owner of the property must pay the above tax; According to the notice, the annual property tax = the original value of the property (1-30%)1.2%, the tax year is the holding period but less t

17、han 3 year.Implications: Adding tax on the non-residential properties will strengthen the restriction on home purchases.3 Market Transaction Update3.1 En Bloc Property Transactions3.1.1 Beijing En Bloc Transactions in Q3 11Name of PropertyLocationProperty TypeBuyerSellerTransaction Price (million RM

18、B)IBMCC (Red Diamond Building)红钻大厦HaidianBIZ ParkKai Long REI凯龙瑞CapitaLand and CITIC Trust凯德&中信信托261In the third quarter of 2011, only one en bloc transaction was done in Beijing, Kai Long REI purchasing Red Diamond Building for RMB 261 million from CapitaLand and CITIC Trust. The red diamond buildi

19、ng is a 22,667-sm business park office building located in Beijings Zhongguancun Software Park, one of the most established business parks in the capital. The property is a single-tenant, low-rise office building currently being used as an R&D centre by IBM China.3.1.2 Qingdao En Bloc Transactions i

20、n Q3 11Name of PropertyLocationProperty TypeBuyerSellerTransaction Price (million RMB)Central Avenue Mall中央大道商场LaoshanUnderground RetailTreasure Holding财富控股Qingdao Sanyang Real Estate三阳置业477In the third quarter of 2011, the only en bloc transaction was done by Treasure Holding with the consideration

21、 for RMB 477 million on the purchase of the Central Avenue from Qingdao Sanyang Real Estate. This project is an underground project for retail use in Laoshan district. The project has the planned GFA of 350,000 sm, which the developer acquired the land use right with the total amount of RMB 202 mill

22、ion in 2008.3.1.3 Tianjin En Bloc Transactions in Q3 11Name of PropertyLocationProperty TypeBuyerSellerTransaction Price (million RMB)Rongsheng Building融盛大楼HepingOfficeTianjin Branch of China National Tobacco Corporation中国烟草公司天津分公司Tianjin Jinrongcheng Real Estate Development Co., Ltd天津金融城开发有限公司330On

23、e en-bloc transaction was completed in this quarter in Tianjin. The Tianjin Branch of China National Tobacco Corporation acquired the Rongsheng Building with the consideration of RMB 330 million for self-use. This project is located in Heping district with a total GFA of 15,655 sm.3.1.4 Shenyang En

24、Bloc Transactions in Q3 11Name of PropertyLocationProperty TypeBuyerSellerTransaction Price (million RMB)Huayin Building华银大厦HepingOfficeChina Minsheng Banking Co. Ltd.中国民生银行股份有限公司Shenyang Jinhuayin Real Estate Development Co. Ltd.沈阳市金华银房地产开发有限公司562On Sep. 1st, China Minsheng Banking Co., Ltd announc

25、ed the acquisition of Shenyang Huayin Building (1-2 floors and 7-26 floors) which is located in Nanjing North Street of Heping District. Huayin Building was developed by Shenyang Jinhuayin Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. The deal costs China Minsheng Banking Co., Ltd RMB 562 million on acquiring a

26、 total office area of 34,506 sm, which will be used as Minshang Banks Shenyang Branchs. After the transaction, the name of Huayin Building will be changed as Minsheng Bank Building, and it is expected to start operation by the end of this year.3.2 Land Transactions3.2.1 Beijing Major Land Transactio

27、ns in Q3 11Land BulletinLocationLand UseBuyerAreaTransaction Price (RMB)115ChaoyangCommercialConsortium of Peking University Founder Group Co., Ltd/Liantong Rental Group Co., Ltd/Anbang Property & Casualty Insurance Co., Ltd/TCITIC Group北大方正集团有限公司/联通租赁集团有限公司/安邦财产保险股份有限公司/中国中信集团公司投标联合体8,0463,450,000,

28、000116ChaoyangCommercialConsortium of Taikang Life Insurance Co., Ltd/CITIC Real Estate Co., Ltd/Hexie Straits Credit Guarantee Co., Ltd/TCITIC Group泰康人寿保险股份有限公司/中信房地产股份有限公司/和协海峡信用担保有限公司/中国中信集团公司投标联合体8,4273,080,000,000113ChaoyangResidentialConsortium of China Investment Corporation (CIC) and CITIC G

29、roup中国投资有限责任公司和中国中信集团公司投标联合体8,468 2,880,000,000 In the third quarter of 2011, altogether 58 land plot transactions were completed in Beijing, totaling an area of 3,132,530 sm. Land for industrial use was sought after, with 22 transactions being completed, involving an area of 880,444 sm, amounting t

30、o 28% of the total. 17 plots of land for residential use were transacted with an area of 1,173,444 sm, amounting to 37.5% of the total. The rest 19 plots of land for commercial, mixed use and hospitality were transacted with an area of 1,078,642 sm, amounting to 34.5% of the total.3.2.2 Dalian Major

31、 Land Transactions in Q3 11Land BulletinLocationLand UseBuyerArea (sm)Transaction Price (RMB)DCX(2011)-36ShahekouMixed UseDalian Rongyu Investment Co., LtdDalian Dehong Real Estate Co., LtdDalian Kunpeng Real Estate Development Co., Ltd大连融裕投资有限公司大连德宏置业有限公司大连鲲鹏房地产开发有限公司35,6001,815,600,000 DL(2011)-7Z

32、hongshanMixed UseShangri-La Dalian Hotel Co., Ltd大连香格里拉酒店有限公司5,900 206,100,000DZ(2011)-27ZhongshanCommercialDalian Yifeng Real Estate Development Co., LtdYingfeng Investment Co., Ltd大连亿峰房地产开发有限公司盈峰投资有限公司18,500624,370,000In the third quarter of 2011, altogether 39 land plot transactions were complete

33、d in Dalian, totaling a land area of 2,486,224 sm, of which 14 plots were residential land, involving an area of 1,283,151 sm, which accounts for 51.6% of the total. Meanwhile, 13 plots of land for commercial and mixed use were transacted with an area of 535,670 sm, amounting to 21.6% of the total.

34、12 plots of land for industrial use were transacted with an area of 667,403 sm, amounting to 26.8% of the total.3.2.3 Qingdao Major Land Transactions in Q3 11Land transaction deals are concentrated in the major areas of Qingdao, including downtown area, Huangdao and Chengyang District.Land BulletinL

35、ocationLand UseBuyerGFA(sm)Transaction Price (RMB)QD036ShinanMixed useCRLAND Qingdao Co., Ltd华润置地501,2924,511,620,000QD038SifangResidentialQingdao Zhuoyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd青岛卓远置业有限公司164,531613,701,376QD045LicangResidentialQngdao Kangtaiyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd青岛康太源房地产开发有限公司110,627398,256,750QD0

36、88ChengyangResidentialCCGRP Chengyang Branch中交地产青岛城阳置业有限公司144,564366,851,389In the third quarter of 2011, a total of 90 land plot transactions were completed in Qingdao, totaling an area of 3,220,781 sm. Among these plots, 25 transactions involved land zoned for industrial use, with the planned GFA

37、of 1,004,421 sm and amounting to 31.19% of the total. Meanwhile, the planned GFA of land for residential, commercial and mixed use was 907,835 sm, 438,749 sm and 136,616 sm respectively. Other uses have total area of 733,161 sm3.2.4 Tianjin Major Land Transactions in Q3 11Land BulletinLocationLand U

38、seBuyerArea (sm)Transaction Price (RMB)Jinnanchang (listing) No. 2011-034NankaiCommercialFinancial Street (Tianjin) Property Co., Lt金融街(天津)置业有限公司33,500 2,360,000,000 Jinnanchang (listing) No. 2011-034NankaiResidentialFinancial Street (Tianjin) Property Co., Lt金融街(天津)置业有限公司44,099 Jinxijie (listing) N

39、o. 2011-188HexiMixed useTianjin Poly Sunac Investment Co., Ltd.天津保利融创投资有限公司117,674 2,299,000,000 Jinxi Jiefang (listing) No. 2011-178HexiResidentialTianjin Chengtou Property Investment and Development Co., Ltd天津城投置地投资发展有限公司109,6771,533,700,000 Jinxi Jiefang (listing) No. 2011-177HexiResidentialTianj

40、in Chengtou Property Investment and Development Co., Ltd天津城投置地投资发展有限公司44,872587,800,000 Jinxi Jiefang (listing) No. 2011-176HexiResidentialTianjin Chengtou Property Investment and Development Co., Ltd天津城投置地投资发展有限公司61,551892,600,000 In the third quarter of 2011, altogether 291 land transactions cover

41、ing a total land area of 18,067,308 sm were concluded in Tianjin. Land for industrial use remained the largest proportion, with 177 transactions being completed, involving an area of 11,403,637 sm, amounting to 63.1% of the total. 45 plots of land for commercial and mixed use were transacted with an

42、 area of 2,088,096 sm, amounting to 11.6% of the total. Meanwhile, land for residential use concluded 69 transactions with a total area of 4,575,575 sm, amounting to 25.3% of the total.3.2.5 Shenyang Major Land Transactions in Q3 11Land BulletinLocationLand UseBuyerArea (sm)Transaction Price (RMB)20

43、10-037ShenheCommercialShanghai Yuyuan Mart Real Estate Development Co. Ltd.上海豫园商城房地产发展有限公司32,265735,637,440DL-1125DonglingMixed UseDalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co. Ltd.大连万达商业地产股份有限公司71,084744,360,085JK2011-412TiexiIndustrialShenyang Brilliant Elevator Co. Ltd.沈阳博林特电梯股份有限公司49,40723,863,818JK201

44、1-414TiexiIndustrialShenyang Brilliant Elevator Co. Ltd.沈阳博林特电梯股份有限公司38,36318,529,508In the third quarter of 2011, Shenyang land market was featured by active transactions. Totally 250 land plot transactions were completed in Shenyang, with a total area of 11,420,180 sm. Among these plots, 135 transactions were for industrial use, inv