1.中国经济发展与战略.ppt
Chinas Economic Planning and State Strategies,Content,The latest Government and CPC Work Reports Main industrial policiesDeveloping policies in different RegionsBeijingShanghaiGuangzhou,1.Economic policies in the Latest Government and CPC Work Reports,The 16th and 17th CPC National Congress Reports2005-2008 Government Work Report,Hold High The Great Banner Of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics And Strive for New Victories in Building A Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects.,1.1 The Outline of 17th CPCNC Report,The Past Five-Year WorkThe Great Historical Course of Reform and Opening Up Thoroughly Applying the Scientific Outlook on Development New Requirements for Attaining the Goal of Building a Moderately Prosperous Society in All Respects,Promoting Sound and Rapid Development of the National Economy Unswervingly Developing Socialist Democracy Promoting Vigorous Development and Prosperity of Socialist Culture Accelerating Social Development with the Focus on Improving Peoples Livelihood,Opening Up New Prospects for Modernization of National Defense and the Armed Forces Carrying Forward the Practice of One Country,Two Systems and Advancing the Great Cause of Peaceful National Reunification Unswervingly Following the Path of Peaceful Development Comprehensively Carrying Forward the Great New Undertaking to Build the Party in a Spirit of Reform and Innovation,1.2 Comparison between 17th and 16th CPCNC Reports,Two reports have almost the same contentsThe later one is more economy focused the former one is more political-orientedThe later one is more detailed and more practical-oriented,1.3 State Developing Strategy,AimModerately prosperous society in all respects Industrialization MissionKeeping the high speed of economic developmentKeeping the scientific outlook on development,1.4 Scientific Outlook on Development-The Core of State Developing Strategy,Regard development as the top priority of the Party in governing and rejuvenating the country Always put people first Pursue comprehensive,balanced and sustainable development Persist in overall consideration,Scientific Outlook on Development,To adhere to one central task and two basic points To work energetically to build a harmonious socialist society To continue to deepen reform and opening up To strengthen our efforts to build the Party in earnest,1.5 Economic Developing Policy,To enhance Chinas capacity for independent innovation To accelerate transformation of the mode of economic development and promote upgrading of the industrial structure To balance urban and rural development and build a new socialist countryside To improve energy,resources,ecological and environmental protection,Economic Developing Policy,To promote balanced development among regions and improve the pattern of land development To improve the basic economic system and the modern market system To deepen fiscal,taxation and financial restructuring and improve macroeconomic regulation To expand opening up in scope and depth and improve our open economy,1.6 Macroeconomic Regulation and Market Economy,We are on the way to a market economy,Problems Need to Be Solved,overheated investment,excessive money and credit supply,serious trade imbalance in recent years.The government Macro-economic Regulations andthe central banks measures taking will help theChinas market growing smoothly,1.7 Economic Policy Changed,To maintain rapid economic growth in the past years,because it can increase national income,ensure the rapid urbanization of the rural population,good for employment.The policy adjustment(in 17th CPCNC)should contribute to the stability and rapid economic development,We Need More Flexible Economic Policies,In 2007,problems of overheated investment,excessive money and credit supply,no effective measures have been takenCPI in 2007 is 4.8%，as the same index of 2006 is 1.5%Serious trade imbalance in recent years,Part 2.Industrial Policy,In general Some special industries-Agriculture-Finance-Other industrial policies,2.1.In general,To enhance Chinas capacity for independent innovation and make China an innovative country To accelerate transformation of the mode of economic development and promote upgrading of the industrial structure,Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic Growth,mainly rely oninvestment and export,rely on combination of consumption,investment and export,secondary industry driving,primary,secondary and tertiary industries jointly driving,At first,2nd Step,Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic Growth,rely heavily on increased consumption of material resources,rely mainly on advances in sci.&tech.improvement in the quality of the workforce innovation in management,3rd Step,Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic Growth,The background of the three transitionsIn 11th.Five-Year Plan transforming the mode of economic growth was introduced in the 5th.Plenary Session,16th.Central Committee(early in 2005)Two bottlenecks in Chinas economic developmentresourceCountrys economic&social system,Three Transitions in The Mode of Economic Growth,The average economic growth rate of our country is 8.8%(the 10th Five-Year Plan.The growth is realized at an excessively high cost of resources and the environment.Problems were occurred Overheated investment,excessive money&credit supply and serious trade imbalance.,2.2.Agricultural Policy,To strengthen the position of agriculture as the foundation of the national economy To continue to take developing modern agriculture and invigorating the rural economy as a primary taskTo increase policy measures to support and benefit agriculture,2.3 Financial Policies,To proceed with financial reforms to develop various types of financial markets and build a modern financial system To make our banking,securities and insurance industries more competitive To improve the structure of the capital market and raise the proportion of direct financing through multiple channels,Financial Policies,Definition of direct financing Any financing transaction where there is no intermediary between the lender and the borrower.Where securities are sold directly to institutional lenders or investors and the cost of underwriting is being avoided.,Financial Policies,To strengthen financial supervision and control,and forestall and defuse financial risksTo improve the RMB exchange rate regime and gradually make the RMB convertible under capital accounts,2.4 Other Industrial Policies,To upgrade new-and high-technology industries and develop information,biotechnology,new materials,aerospace,marine and other industries.To develop the modern service industry and raise the level of the service sector and its share in the economy.To step up efforts to improve basic industries and infrastructure and accelerate development of a modern energy industry and a comprehensive transport system.To encourage formation of internationally competitive conglomerates.,Part 3.Developing Plans in Different Regions,Beijing-the Jing-Jin-Tang development areaShanghai-the Yangtze Delta development areaGuangzhou-the Zhujiang Delta development area,3.1 Strategy And Policies in Jing-Jin-Jang Area,Jing-Jin-Tang RangeBeijng and Tianjin Cities Three cities in Hebei Province Tangshan Qinhuangdao Langfang,Jing-Jin-Tang Industrial Zone,Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area,BeijingReview in the last five yearsRapid GDP growth-from 433.04 billion Yuan(2002)to 900.62 billion(2007)Reform and Opening-up DeepenedOlympic Games went successfully,Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area,Beijing2008 Beijing Olympic Games,input on urban infrastructure construction is 180 billion Yuan.The total investment Beijing Olympic venue construction is expected be 20.5 billion Yuan.90 billion Yuan funds for a complete transportation network construction in subway,light rail,highway,airport and other projects.,Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area,Strategies in BeijingCity internationalizationService economyLight industryPoliciesEffectively change the mode of development and Further optimize the industrial structure-tertiary industry,74%Strengthen the innovation ability to improve science&tech.,Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area,TianjinReview in the last five years GDP over 500 billion Yuan at average growth rate of 15%GDP per capita USD 6000,Strategy&Policies in Jing-Jin-Tang Area,Strategies in TianjinTo be an international port cityNorthern economic centerEcological cityPoliciesTo speed up the restructuring and transformation of the development mode-Industry The main growth power in Tianjing,Tianjin Industry Products in 2007,3.2 Shanghai-The Yangtze Delta Development Area,Yangtzi River Delta Region Contains 16 citiesIt is crowned as the 6th cluster of cities in the world,Regional Economic Integration,the region with two or more provinces or regions promotes economic and trade development through the establishment of a common coordination bodies formulate a unified economic and trade policyeliminate trade barriers among themselves,Policies,transportation legislation systemcompetition environmentresource sharingpopulation distribution,Chart I Manufacturing(percentage in the country),Distinct Characters,Zhejiang-textile,leather,buttons,electrical appliances,other labor-intensive industrial clusters Shanghai-technology-intensive and capital-intensive industrial clustersJiangsu-textile,clothing,light industry,and other traditional industrial clusters,New Tendency,Some labor-intensive industries in Shanghai and some capital-intensive industries begin to transfer to Jiangsu,Zhejiang,GDP in Shanghai,Source:http:/www.stats-,Stocks,Futures,Inter-Bank Lending Market Turnover,Source:http:/www.stats-,Financial Environment,Policies,attract the professionals and much more financial agenciesProvide a fair competition environment and certain preferential policies,Conclusions,The development of Shanghai will not only benefit itself but also given impetus to the surrounding areas.,3.3 Guangzhou-The Pearl River Delta Development Area,Strategies Economic development with basic information SWOT analysisCompared with other deltas(outline)Effective proposalsFuture development prospects,Review of The Economic Development in The Pearl River Delta,GDP/GDP per capitaIndustrial StructureIncome of the Residents StrategyInvestment PatternsExport Scale,Economic Indicators,GDP(2007)is 2,527 billion(Yuan)Percentage to the whole province is 82.74%The average annual growth rate is 15.58%(2000 2007)GDP per capita(2007)is 53,587(Yuan)1.65 times higher than the province level,Industrial Structure,Second industry continued to maintain steady growth trend.Its structure was continually optimized and upgraded.Communication industryElectric ManufacturingTransportation equipment manufacturing industryHigh-tech industry enjoyed a rapid development High-tech product exports reached to 251 billion Yuan,31.6%of total exports in recent five years,The steady development of tertiary industry was promoted.The overall level of services were raisedA major force to promote the urbanization process,Residents Income,Urban and rural residents savings deposits in all financial institutions(2007)is 1830 billion Yuan.2.82 times greater than that of 2000Residents income was steadily increased,Investment Patterns,In recent five years,the investments in the infrastructure have been further strengthenedin energy,transportation,communicationA number of major projects proceeded smoothly,such as Shenzhen metroYangmao express wayLinao nuclear power station,Export Scale,The dependence of Polytechnic Research and Development(PRD)on global market increased dramatically,the export reliance rose up from 94.98%in 2000 to 106.3%in 2007.The PRD(2001 2007)absorbed FDI in USD 70.289 billion,accounting for about 90%of the province.,Development Strategies,Based on the statistics of economicdevelopment in PRD,To speed up the readjustment of the industrial structureTo develop high-tech industries and modern servicesTo develop the export sector,Development Strategies,To build the port citiesTo transform the traditional industriesTo strengthen and consolidate the central city status,SWOT Analysis,StrengthModern market system has been already formed.New tech.industries have developed by leaps and bounds.High-tech products exports(2003)reached to USD 11.83 billion,which dominates the first place in the nation.,SWOT Analysis,WeaknessThe scattered cities distribution has hampered the function of a city group.The capacity in scientific and technological innovation is low.Strong human resources are lack.,SWOT Analysis,OpportunityLabor-intensive light industry-base of the industry.Export-oriented economy accounts for a high proportion.,SWOT Analysis,ThreatIndustrial system is not perfect.The environment for foreign investmentThe development of private economy is neglected.,Compared with Other Deltas,Comparisons(outline)TechnologyPersonnel mechanismTransportation system planningFinancing environmentIndustrial structureThe level of economic development,Effective Proposals,To develop industry gatheringTo foster regional economic characteristicsTo optimize the environment and create a good platform for economic developmentTo cooperate with other deltas,Prospects,A rapid growth trend will be maintainedThe industrial structure will be optimizedContradiction between economic development and environmental resources will be easedThe pace of regional integration will be acceleratedThe cooperation with Hong Kong and Macao will be improved,
